Question:
Who would win
( No nukes allowed lol )
Answer:
in a straight conventional war the chinese would severely outnumber the Japanese so that would be a very important factor
however there is the fact that Japan is an island so they have this huge natural barrier against an invading force an invading force would not be able to concentrate enough manpower on the beachhead to deal effectively with the defending force which nullifies any advantage of numbers
in the 30s the Japanese were kicking the Crap out of China but that was mostly related to trained fighting forces and the required equipment and materials being available to the japanese when the chinese had very little material and equipment to work with and many fewer trained military personnel
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